Arroyo vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
ARR
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ARR
2 - 7
DBN
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
BAD
3 - 2
ARR
73%
18%
9%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ARR
0 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
EXT
5 - 1
ARR
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PLA
1 - 0
CPL
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SAM
2 - 2
PLA
20%
25%
56%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
PLA
2 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CRE
1 - 0
PLA
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
PLA
5 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |