Arroyo vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
GUA
14%
24%
62%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 1
ARR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 3
ALB
36%
30%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 0
MEL
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
MEL
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 0
ECI
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |