Arratia CD vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arratia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CDP
2 - 0
ACD
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
GAL
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
IUR
2 - 0
ACD
46%
24%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
APU
0 - 2
ACD
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
RET
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
JUV
43%
28%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LFT
1 - 1
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
SOD
14%
24%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
GAT
28%
28%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TCF
1 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |