Arras vs V.Châtillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 1
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
AAC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 1
FON
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
VCH
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 0
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VCH
0 - 1
BER
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
VCH
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |