Arras vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
ARR
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
4 - 1
BOU
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLE
5 - 4
ARR
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ARR
3 - 3
FCS
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 2
ARR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VIM
1 - 2
FEI
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ASB
1 - 2
VIM
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VIM
0 - 2
LUS
9%
16%
76%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 3
AIL
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |