Arras vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 1
ARR
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
RAC
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
ARR
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
CRE
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
REI
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ROY
0 - 4
RAC
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
REI
0 - 1
ROY
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ESW
2 - 1
ROY
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROY
6 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |