Arras vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 1
DIE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AUB
3 - 0
ARR
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
5 - 2
ROY
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
PSG
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AUB
1 - 2
QUE
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
QUE
35%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
BOU
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 0
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |