Arras vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 2
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
AAC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 2
ARR
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
IRI
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POI
2 - 1
ARR
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
PSG
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESW
3 - 3
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |