Arras vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 3
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASB
2 - 1
ARR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 5
ARR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 3
OIS
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
AAC
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SED
2 - 1
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAL
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 2
LEN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |