Arras vs Créteil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
REI
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
ARR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
ESW
45%
28%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
2 - 6
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
LIL
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROY
6 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 0
REI
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
CRE
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
CRE
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +1 |