Arras vs Créteil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ROY
0 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LES
0 - 2
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SAI
1 - 0
ARR
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SCM
1 - 3
ARR
15%
22%
64%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BEA
0 - 0
CRE
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SEN
3 - 2
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
SED
1 - 2
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 4
ROY
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LIL
2 - 1
CRE
38%
26%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |