Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
ESW
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
ASB
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
IRI
4 - 0
ARR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
PSG
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAL
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
LEN
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |