Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 5
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOI
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
OIS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |