Arras vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 3
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NOI
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
BAS
23%
24%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 0
OIS
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |