Arrabaldo vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-104%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
ARR
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 2
RIB
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BMI
0 - 0
ARR
16%
19%
66%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
AMO
39%
23%
39%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 2
ARR
21%
19%
61%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COV
2 - 2
PAL
62%
18%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 5
COV
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
COV
8 - 1
PON
58%
19%
23%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 2
COV
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
COV
4 - 1
FRA
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |