Arouca vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
ARO
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VST
2 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
OLP
2 - 1
ARO
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
SPB
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 1
VST
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 0
BOA
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |