Arouca vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
ARO
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
VSC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
ARO
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
SCP
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |