Arosa vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
COM
1 - 0
ARO
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUG
47%
30%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 1
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
ARO
1 - 2
UPL
50%
29%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SPB
3 - 0
ARO
60%
27%
13%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAU
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
RCF
2 - 0
NAV
83%
14%
4%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
NAV
2 - 0
GIM
18%
24%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +5 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
ARE
2 - 1
NAV
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
NAV
2 - 1
LAR
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |