Arosa vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
OVA
0 - 2
ARO
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ARO
1 - 0
COX
30%
29%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NAR
0 - 3
ARO
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
OVA
3 - 1
ARO
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ARO
2 - 1
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 1
STA
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
BER
0 - 1
LUG
25%
29%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 0
BOU
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LAL
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |