Arosa vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
GRA
3 - 1
ARO
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
ALO
1 - 0
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ARO
1 - 1
LEN
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARO
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 0
ROB
66%
22%
12%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 1
CLU
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
PON
1 - 0
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
CEL
3 - 2
CAU
48%
28%
24%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
COM
3 - 1
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |