Arosa vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
ARO
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOI
1 - 1
ARO
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
CUL
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SIL
0 - 2
ARO
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORD
0 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
BER
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
BOI
34%
26%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |