Arosa vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
0 - 2
COX
54%
24%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 2
ARO
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 1
GRA
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
ALO
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALO
3 - 3
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
COX
1 - 1
ALO
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ALO
0 - 1
BOU
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
ALO
25%
24%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |