Arosa SC U19 vs Racing U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
16º
6º
51
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 0
ARO
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 2
ROC
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
ARO
50%
23%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COV
3 - 0
ARO
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -3 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ARO
2 - 0
OVI
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Racing U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
REA
4 - 1
SDC
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
REA
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REA
3 - 0
MAS
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
REA
43%
25%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
REA
2 - 0
ATP
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |