Charlottesville Alliance vs FC Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlottesville Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 0
ARO
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARO
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
RIC
4 - 0
ARO
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
RSC
1 - 2
ARO
11%
17%
72%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 5
BAL
32%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |