Arões vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VIZ
4 - 1
ARO
81%
14%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 2
ARO
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 1
TRO
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 1
ARO
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
FEL
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 3
ADO
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 1
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COI
2 - 3
FAF
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FAF
2 - 1
SMA
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FEL
3 - 3
FAF
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |