At. Arnoia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIV
30%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 0
ARN
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
ARZ
29%
24%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
RCV
26%
25%
48%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARZ
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 3
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
VIV
3 - 2
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |