At. Arnoia vs Caldelao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
ARN
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 0
BMI
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 2
ARN
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 3
COV
53%
20%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caldelao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
PON
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
8 - 1
CAL
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 5
UDO
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
5 - 3
CAL
42%
21%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 3
AMO
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |