NCAA Division I Patriot League Round 6

Army West Point vs Lafayette analysis

Army West Point  Lafayette
22 ELO 36
-2% Tilt 0%
46449º General ELO ranking 46453º
807º Country ELO ranking 811º
ELO win probability
17.6%
Army West Point
19.1%
Draw
63.3%
Lafayette

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
Army West Point
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.3%
Win probability
 Lafayette
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Army West Point
-2%
-13%
 Lafayette

ELO progression

Army West Point
 Lafayette
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Army West Point
Army West Point
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
0 - 1
Colgate Raiders
CRS
77%
14%
9%
23 17 6 0
20 Mar. 2021
AWP
Army West Point
1 - 2
Holy Cross
HLC
39%
22%
39%
24 26 2 -1

Matches

Lafayette
 Lafayette
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
BUA
Boston University
2 - 3
 Lafayette
LFL
25%
21%
54%
34 25 9 0
20 Mar. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
2 - 1
Colgate Raiders
CRS
87%
9%
4%
34 17 17 0
13 Mar. 2021
LFL
 Lafayette
2 - 1
Holy Cross
HLC
66%
18%
16%
33 27 6 +1
06 Mar. 2021
BBS
Bucknell Bison
0 - 1
 Lafayette
LFL
16%
18%
66%
33 20 13 0