Arminia Ludwigshafen vs Ahrweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
6º
12º
6º
25
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
44 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 10 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 9 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 8 |
10º
|
83% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 7 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Ludwigshafen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARL
3 - 1
KAI
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 1
ARL
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARL
1 - 1
AUE
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARL
7 - 1
TUS
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DIE
4 - 1
ARL
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ahrweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
5 - 0
ABC
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 3
ENG
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KON
1 - 0
ABC
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PFE
0 - 1
ABC
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |