Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs SC Paderborn U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
76.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
18
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 22 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
WBR
6%
11%
83%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
HAN
9%
15%
75%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 2
EIN
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSN
3 - 0
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 1
BOC
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Paderborn U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
SCP
19%
20%
62%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OSN
0 - 5
SCP
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 2
BOC
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
WBR
44%
21%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RWE
0 - 5
SCP
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |