Armed Forces vs Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
ARM
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
ARM
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 2
BAN
44%
30%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HAW
0 - 0
ARM
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
WAL
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 0
BOM
37%
31%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
HAW
1 - 2
BOM
39%
31%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 0
HAW
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HAW
0 - 0
ARM
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HAW
0 - 0
SER
44%
30%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |