Armed Forces vs Greater Tomorrow FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
16º
9º
32
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 3
MAR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 2
ARM
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 0
FOR
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PSV
0 - 3
ARM
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 0
STE
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Greater Tomorrow FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
GTA
0 - 0
GAM
13%
23%
65%
|
12 | 63 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 2
GTA
75%
18%
7%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RHI
0 - 0
GTA
79%
15%
6%
|
12 | 63 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GTA
0 - 2
FAL
10%
19%
71%
|
12 | 64 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
GTA
0 - 0
FOR
14%
24%
62%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | +1 |