Armagh City vs Newtowne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ARD
4 - 1
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 0
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 0
SUF
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 2
DON
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newtowne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NFC
4 - 1
CRU
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 5
NFC
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |