Irish Cup Northern Ireland Quarter-finals

Armagh City vs Lisburn Rangers analysis

Armagh City Lisburn Rangers
51 ELO 10
15.5% Tilt 13.2%
3845º General ELO ranking 34694º
27º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
88.1%
Armagh City
9%
Draw
2.9%
Lisburn Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
Armagh City
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
2.9%
Win probability
Lisburn Rangers
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO progression

Armagh City
Lisburn Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Armagh City
Armagh City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2015
LAR
Larne
4 - 4
Armagh City
ARC
56%
22%
22%
51 54 3 0
14 Nov. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
3 - 4
Bangor
BAN
32%
24%
44%
51 57 6 0
07 Nov. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
6 - 0
Lurgan Celtic
LCE
41%
24%
35%
49 51 2 +2
24 Oct. 2015
KNO
Knockbreda
1 - 3
Armagh City
ARC
52%
22%
26%
48 48 0 +1
17 Oct. 2015
ARC
Armagh City
3 - 1
Institute
INS
40%
24%
36%
47 49 2 +1

Matches

Lisburn Rangers
Lisburn Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2015
LRA
Lisburn Rangers
3 - 0
Tandragee Rovers
TRF
42%
23%
36%
9 10 1 0
08 Nov. 2014
LRA
Lisburn Rangers
2 - 7
Ards Rangers
ARF
19%
21%
60%
10 17 7 -1
07 Dec. 2013
SAF
Strabane Athletic
2 - 0
Lisburn Rangers
LRA
77%
15%
8%
10 23 13 0
09 Nov. 2013
BRF
Bryansburn Rangers
1 - 3
Lisburn Rangers
LRA
47%
23%
30%
9 9 0 +1
17 Nov. 2012
LRA
Lisburn Rangers
1 - 3
Ballynahinch United
BUF
43%
23%
34%
10 11 1 -1