Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 2
CAR
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 0
ARC
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PSN
1 - 1
ARC
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 1
ARC
28%
23%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARC
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
INS
2 - 1
LCE
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
6 - 0
INS
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KNO
1 - 1
INS
38%
24%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
INS
4 - 0
PSN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |