Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 0
ARC
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARC
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
DON
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
LIS
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 0
LCE
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KNO
1 - 0
INS
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |