Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GLE
8 - 0
ARC
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
CRU
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 3
ARC
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 3
NEW
31%
25%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
ARC
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
POR
1 - 3
INS
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
TOB
2 - 3
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
INS
2 - 0
MOY
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 3
INS
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |