Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
ARC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
LIM
1 - 2
ARC
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARC
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
ARD
2 - 2
ARC
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
LIS
0 - 2
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
INS
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |