Armagh City vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
4 - 0
CCF
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
NUF
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MOY
0 - 4
ARC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 3
AUN
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 0
ARC
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
PSN
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LCE
1 - 2
BAL
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DUN
4 - 5
BAL
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
COA
3 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
KNO
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |