Arlesey Town vs Wivenhoe Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
POT
1 - 1
ARL
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
ARL
1 - 0
ROT
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 2
ARL
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
COR
1 - 2
ARL
50%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ARL
0 - 1
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wivenhoe Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
ILF
1 - 0
WIV
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WIV
2 - 1
UXB
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
WIV
1 - 3
ENF
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BOR
4 - 0
WIV
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
UXB
3 - 0
WIV
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |