Arlesey Town vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
THA
3 - 0
ARL
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ARL
3 - 1
YEL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
STA
2 - 2
ARL
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OXF
3 - 1
STA
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WEY
1 - 0
OXF
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 3
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
7 - 1
SWI
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BED
1 - 2
OXF
20%
23%
56%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |