Arlesey Town vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 3
ARL
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ARL
3 - 3
AYL
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 1
KID
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 1
ARL
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
KEM
1 - 1
ARL
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 0
AYL
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UXB
1 - 3
FAR
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
3 - 1
CHA
83%
12%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
ROY
5 - 0
FAR
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
FAR
4 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |