Arlesey Town vs Dunstable Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ARL
0 - 2
ARD
32%
23%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ARL
0 - 3
RIS
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 2
ARL
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARL
2 - 0
BRU
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
ARL
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
LON
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
BRU
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARD
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
HAR
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
DUN
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |