Arlesey Town vs Bideford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ARL
2 - 1
BIG
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
WEY
3 - 0
ARL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
HIT
2 - 0
ARL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
ARL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 4
ARL
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
BID
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
BID
3 - 0
PAU
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
WHI
5 - 0
BID
63%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BID
5 - 0
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
WEY
2 - 1
BID
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |