Arlesey Town vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
SLO
0 - 3
ARL
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WOD
2 - 1
ARL
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
ARL
3 - 0
AFH
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 1
LEI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BIG
2 - 2
ARL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
ATH
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAR
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
DAV
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
RUG
2 - 2
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SOH
0 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |