Arles vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 3
SOC
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 1
ARL
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 0
TFC
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 2
ARL
68%
22%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
ARL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 2
NAN
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
VAN
4 - 3
LMU
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
LMU
4 - 0
STL
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
LMU
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |