Arles vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SED
0 - 0
ARL
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
4 - 1
ARL
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
GUI
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
ARL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
IST
2 - 1
AMI
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 1
IST
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
IST
0 - 0
USB
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
REI
2 - 1
IST
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
IST
1 - 1
LHA
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |