Arles vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
ARL
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
NAN
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 2
ARL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
ARL
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 0
AJA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
17%
24%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |