Arles II vs Agde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARL
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARL
4 - 2
AUB
58%
20%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
SÈT
0 - 1
ARL
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 2
NIM
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 2
ARL
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AGD
1 - 0
AJA
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
AGD
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AGD
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ECH
1 - 1
AGD
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AGD
2 - 1
VAU
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |