Arkadag vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SRI
1 - 2
ARK
11%
16%
74%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
3 - 1
AHA
55%
21%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KAS
1 - 3
ARK
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
ARK
6 - 1
KAS
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
ARK
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 0
BFT
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 0
BFT
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
AHA
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
ARK
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAS
0 - 0
BFT
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |